This strategy invests in the sectors that have performed best in similar historical macro environments to the current one. The selection universe consists of 10 sector ETFs. Each sector is ranked using a variety of macro variables, including GDP growth, inflation, and the slope of the yield curve, among others, and the top 5 ETFS are added to the portfolio on each rebalancing date.
Since 2006, this portfolio has returned 9.7% per year, outperforming its benchmark by 0.8%
Year | Portfolio | S&P 500 |
2007 | 11.8% | 5.1% |
2008 | -33.7% | -36.8% |
2009 | 29.1% | 26.4% |
2010 | 20.6% | 15.1% |
2011 | 2.4% | 1.9% |
Year | Portfolio | S&P 500 |
2012 | 15.6% | 16.0% |
2013 | 33.3% | 32.3% |
2014 | 14.7% | 13.5% |
2015 | -1.4% | 1.2% |
2016 | 14.6% | 12.0% |
Year | Portfolio | S&P 500 |
2017 | 16.0% | 21.7% |
2018 | -12.0% | -4.6% |
2019 | 23.6% | 31.2% |
2020 | 14.8% | 18.3% |
2021 | 31.1% | 28.7% |
2022 YTD | -2.5% | -14.3% |